Who Will Win Eurovision According to YouTube?

Armenia's Aram Mp3 and Conchita Wurst from Austria tussle it out for most viewed video on YouTube

Armenia’s Aram Mp3 and Conchita Wurst from Austria tussle it out for most viewed video on YouTube

Nobody really knows who is going to win for sure at the Eurovision. You can use various different sources as indicators to the popularity of each song. You could go with the bookies’ odds, marks that critics and experts give each entry, what the fans have to say through polls or comments or the amount of followers each act has on Twitter.

Here at Eurovision 2014 Blog, we have decided that we are going to use YouTube hits as the main way of determining how likely it is an act will win. The way we went about collecting the data is by typing the term ‘Eurovision 2014 Official’ followed by the name of the country for each entry. We then went with the video with the most views for that entry on the first page of video results.

We recognise that there are some flaws in this system as some songs have multiple videos on the site. In addition to this we recognise that some songs were picked (in some cases months) earlier than others and therefore have had more of an opportunity to garner more views.

Greece's entry from Freaky Fortune feat. RiskyKidd is in third place

Greece’s entry from Freaky Fortune feat. RiskyKidd is in third place

In addition to this we admit that most people are likely to only view the entry for their own country, and therefore countries with larger populations may be more likely to have more views than smaller countries. Having said that the results are in and we think they are accurate. So with out further ado here is the top 10 most viewed videos and the 5 least viewed videos for Eurovision 2014. We will update this weekly every monday until the Final, to see if anything changes. So Check back then to see the findings.

Top 10 YouTube Views (as of Sunday 13th April 2014)

1. Aram MP3- Not Alone (Armenia) 1,904,541

2. Conchita Wurst- Rise Like a Phoenix (Austria) 1,453,686

3. Freaky Fortune feat. RiskyKidd- Rise Up (Greece) 835,878

4. Sergej Cetkovic- Moj Svijet (Montenegro) 752,667

5. Sanna Nielsen- Undo(Sweden) 600,788

6. Tolmachevy Sisters- Shine (Russia) 570,921

7. Emma- La Mia Citta (Italy) 544,843

8. Ruth Lorenzo- Dancing in the Rain (Spain) 544,520

9. Molly- Children of the Universe (United Kindom) 529,645

10. Dilara Kazimova- Start A Fire (Azerbaijan) 494,645

 

Aarzemnieki seem to be the least likely to win at this stage

Aarzemnieki seem to be the least likely to win at this stage

At the bottom end of the spectrum we have:

 

33.  Suzy- Quero Ser Tua (Portugal) 121,169

34. Axel Hirsoux- Mother (Belgium) 118,704

35. Softengine- Something Better (Finland) 113,047

36. Cristina Scarlat- Wild Soul (Moldova) 113,019

37. Aarzemmnieki- Cake to Bake (Latvia) 111,805

3 Comments

  1. The problem with this is that it massively underestimates the Polish views. The main video for the Polish entrant is the Polish language version, which does not show up using the search method you have used. Put just the Polish title in, and you’ll find the official video has over 40 million views. Partly this is because it was a number one hit in Poland even before it was selected as the Polish entry. Partly it’s because there’s an awful lot of boobs in it.

    Like

    • Thanks for the comment. I know there are many flaws in this system and it is by no means comprehensive at all, and as you rightly point out the Polish song is hugely popular for erm…many reasons…lol. Have you got a particular favourite?

      Like

  2. the folk band aa from Latvia is the coolest folkie this California boy has heard in years. Please come to the USA.

    Like

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